Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.004173 0.004392 0.004617 0.004866 0.005134 0.005413 0.005728
2025-08-10 0.003764 0.004085 0.004428 0.004825 0.005273 0.005764 0.006347
2025-08-17 0.003583 0.003970 0.004398 0.004907 0.005502 0.006178 0.007014
2025-08-24 0.003391 0.003818 0.004300 0.004889 0.005595 0.006422 0.007477
2025-08-31 0.003225 0.003679 0.004202 0.004854 0.005655 0.006617 0.007880
2025-09-07 0.003067 0.003539 0.004090 0.004790 0.005666 0.006743 0.008194
2025-09-14 0.002927 0.003410 0.003983 0.004721 0.005663 0.006844 0.008473
2025-09-21 0.002839 0.003339 0.003941 0.004728 0.005751 0.007060 0.008908
2025-09-28 0.002686 0.003181 0.003783 0.004580 0.005629 0.006992 0.008952
2025-10-05 0.002612 0.003119 0.003741 0.004577 0.005692 0.007170 0.009340
2025-10-12 0.002580 0.003107 0.003761 0.004652 0.005863 0.007497 0.009956
2025-10-19 0.002503 0.003034 0.003700 0.004617 0.005880 0.007611 0.010267
2025-10-26 0.002432 0.002967 0.003645 0.004588 0.005905 0.007739 0.010609
2025-11-02 0.002362 0.002899 0.003586 0.004552 0.005918 0.007849 0.010930
2025-11-09 0.002340 0.002894 0.003609 0.004628 0.006091 0.008198 0.011642
2025-11-16 0.002285 0.002841 0.003567 0.004611 0.006128 0.008347 0.012043
2025-11-23 0.002227 0.002785 0.003516 0.004579 0.006141 0.008459 0.012390
2025-11-30 0.002163 0.002717 0.003448 0.004520 0.006110 0.008499 0.012618
2025-12-07 0.002101 0.002650 0.003380 0.004456 0.006070 0.008523 0.012817
2025-12-14 0.002066 0.002619 0.003360 0.004463 0.006135 0.008713 0.013314
2025-12-21 0.001984 0.002521 0.003244 0.004326 0.005975 0.008536 0.013153
2025-12-28 0.001950 0.002490 0.003220 0.004323 0.006021 0.008693 0.013598
2026-01-04 0.001942 0.002493 0.003246 0.004393 0.006184 0.009049 0.014428